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Coalitions, co-benefits, and lock-in – building durable support for Carbon Removal

To achieve the necessary scale for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to meaningfully address climate change, we cannot rely on market signals or generalized climate policies alone; instead, we must embrace targeted industrial policies.This means building real coalitions that will fight for these technologies because they see direct, tangible benefits, not just generic atmospheric benefits. It… Continue reading Coalitions, co-benefits, and lock-in – building durable support for Carbon Removal

Micromotives, macrobehaviours and other notes on group dynamics

Most things are made of some kind of group, your neighbourhood, your workplace, the UN. Yet there are many times when the behaviour of the group does not seem to conform to what we would expect. If we got a look at the members who made it up we may be surprised at what the outcome is. Why is this? Predominantly inspired by Schelling's Micromotives and Macrobehaviours I've tried to lay out some systems that can help shed light on this.

re: Where are all the successful rationalists

I came across a blog post recently titled 'Where are all the successful rationalists' by a newish blog called Applied Divinity Studies. The post raises the point that given the focus 'rationalists' put on better thinking there don't seem to be many people who would call themselves 'rationalists' in high up positions. A few answers… Continue reading re: Where are all the successful rationalists

Ergodicity: The gap between typical and average

How far can typical and average diverge from each other? In many settings the answer is not much but in many more the answer can be a surprisingly large amount. These different settings are often not differentiated though leading to misleading statistics and beliefs. What differentiates these two types of systems? The answer is ergodicity.… Continue reading Ergodicity: The gap between typical and average