Ergodicity: The gap between typical and average

How far can typical and average diverge from each other? In many settings the answer is not much but in many more the answer can be a surprisingly large amount. These different settings are often not differentiated though leading to misleading statistics and beliefs. What differentiates these two types of systems? The answer is ergodicity.… Continue reading Ergodicity: The gap between typical and average

The Affluent Society – J K Galbraith

To secure to each family a [universal] minimum income would help ensure that the misfortunes of the parents, deserved or not, were not visited on their children.  Investment in eduction assessed qualitatively as well as quantitatively could become the closest to being the basic index of social progress. The large corporation is seen as good… Continue reading The Affluent Society – J K Galbraith

How to actually change your mind – Eliezer Yudkowsky

Rationality: rational beliefs should not be preferences they should be the best estimate of the way things actually are. why bother learning about rationality if you can’t become fully rational, for the same reason that you would double check a test answer if you can’t be sure it will be correct. ‘if you don’t seek… Continue reading How to actually change your mind – Eliezer Yudkowsky

Map and Territory – Eliezer Yudkowsky

This is a book by Eliezer Yudkowsky on rationality. I would strongly recommend this to anyone interested in the subject and below I have put a few notes on bits I found particularly interesting. scope insensitivity: what would you pay to save 2000/20,000/20,000 birds? ideas is that you have a prototype bird and the emotional… Continue reading Map and Territory – Eliezer Yudkowsky